Saturday, February 28, 2009

Middle class protests having their patriotism questioned

A Democrat member of the US House of Rrepresentatives:

"As everyone knows, paying taxes is even more patriotic than serving in the military,” said one unnamed Democrat House member, "and yet Obama’s budget grants the privilege of higher taxes mostly to those earning more than $250,000 per year, or who inherit large estates, or who make wise investments. This is tantamount to questioning the patriotism of the working class. Our phones are lighting up with calls from the home district…people offended that they’re not included."
Un.believe.able.

Saturday Photo Funnies

I blame global warming:
















A road for drunk drivers
















Hyperinflation




















Oops, I left my bank vault at home.




















Are you a geek? Need a job?















Oh please, oh please . . .

Friday, February 27, 2009

Good speech to Marines by Obama

I've been listening to President Obama's speech to the Marines at Camp Lejeune, NC, and I have to say, this is Obama's rhetorical skills at their best. His reception at entrance and introduction by the Marines was subdued and surprisingly, they did not applaud at the end, although I don't think that is necessarily indicative of any ill feeling on their part. Generally, subordinates in the military services are very reluctant to appear to be paying compliments to a higher rank - and you can't get any higher than the commander in chief. OTOH, I seem to recall that the troops were pretty wildly enthusiastic about President Bush when he spoke to such gatherings.

As for Obama's plan to withdraw all combat troops from Iraq by the end of August next year, I can't really find much fault with it. We can nit pick over another month or two, but at this point, there are two major factors that have to be acknowledged. First, except for maybe two lingering trouble spots, we've won militarily. Second, the Iraqi government and people have to have a deadline to work toward when they will need to stand up all the way.

There will also be left in the country a robust support base that will maintain the capability to receive large numbers of US combat units very rapidly if it proves necessary. I'm surprised no one has picked up on that; instead commentators parrot the president's line that the support troops will remain to support the Iraqi government. And so they will, but that's just half the story.

All US troops out of Iraq by the end of 2011? Well, it's almost three full years, but I'll believe it when I see it. It seems a deadline driven by the 2012 presidential campaign rather than strategic analysis.

Overall, though, a good speech well delivered, and one with very obvious, extensive input by the military commanders concerned.

Update: Ralph Peters said the speech was "all flash, no bang."

How democracies perish

If you know how to capture wild pigs, you know how to subdue a country.

"Farouz Farzami," a pseudonymous journalist who is forbidden to publish in Iran, writing in Tehran:

I live in a country where alcohol is officially banned, but where the art of homemade spirits has reached new heights. Sharing my astonishment about the cocktail book with some friends with better connections to the Islamist regime, they explained the government has a silent pact with the educated and affluent in Iran's big cities, who render politics unto Caesar, provided that Caesar keeps his nose out of their liquor cabinets.

In other words, the well-to-do Iranian drinks and reads and watches what he wishes. He does as he pleases behind the walls of his private mansions and villas. In return for his private comforts, the affluent Iranian is happy to sacrifice freedom of speech, most of his civil rights, and his freedom of association. The upper-middle class has been bought off by this pact, which makes a virtue of hypocrisy.
Which reminds me of the story of how to capture a herd of wild pigs.

Once you find out where in the countryside the pigs roam free, you locate a flat spot big enough to hold the herd. Then you pour a couple of buckets of feed corn on the ground. Bye and bye the pigs find the corn and eat it. The next day you repeat. And the next and the next, until you have trained the wild pigs to go to that spot every day and eat free corn.

Then you build a single fence next to the corn spot. The pigs notice the fence but ignore it - after all, their free corn is still there. Once they have gotten used to the fence, you build another to the side, connecting both fences at the end at right angles. Pour more corn. The pigs will learn to ignore that fence too. The free corn is still coming, so what's another fence?

Then the fence on the opposite side goes up. More free corn. Then the final fence, but you leave the gate open. This will confuse the pigs, but only momentarily. They'll smell the free corn and that will be all that matters. So they'll go in to eat the corn. You shut the gate.

Now the pigs realize they are trapped and they try to break through the fence. But it's too strong. Besides, to calm them down you just pour more buckets of corn into their new prison. Shortly the pigs lose interest in the fence and settle down happily to eat free corn.

Back to Tehran. From time to time the authorities raid neighborhoods and confiscate satellite ishes. A dish owner simply pays a fine; after all, "erecting another satellite dish is as easy as refueling his car."
"I can afford yearly two or three months' vacation in Dubai, Europe or even America," my friend said. "Why should I bother to organize a protest against seizing our satellite dishes? We may be forfeiting our freedoms, as you say, but when the price of avoiding the authorities is so affordable, why would we risk everything to take on the regime? We have to wait until society itself is disillusioned, and the masses open their eyes."
Farzami concludes, "How can you have a revolution when everyone is watching TV?"

But this post is not really about Iran, is it? Nope, it's about the United States of America.

Alexis de Tocqueville foresaw the end of the American ideal in Democracy in America, published in two volumes in 1835 and 1840. As Michael Ledeen recently essayed, de Tocqueville knew that "we will not be bludgeoned into submission; we will be seduced."
He foresees the collapse of American democracy as the end result of two parallel developments that ultimately render us meekly subservient to an enlarged bureaucratic power: the corruption of our character, and the emergence of a vast welfare state that manages all the details of our lives. His words are precisely the ones that best describe out current crisis:
That power is absolute, minute, regular, provident and mild. It would be like the authority of a parent if, like that authority, its object was to prepare men for manhood; but it seeks, on the contrary, to keep them in perpetual childhood: it is well content that the people should rejoice, provided they think of nothing but rejoicing. For their happiness such a government willingly labors, but it chooses to be the sole agent and the only arbiter of that happiness; it provides for their security, foresees and supplies their necessities, facilitates their pleasures, manages their principal concerns, directs their industry, regulates the descent of property, and subdivides their inheritances: what remains, but to spare them all the care of thinking and all the trouble of living?
A thought from Jeff at Occupied Nashville:
My wife was telling me that some people she works with still believe that they will receive a check from the government at some point after the stimulus bill is signed into law. We were trying to figure out why they thought this. All we could come up with was that that they were relating the word “stimulus” with the stimulus check that they got last year. That and the fact that many tv news stories about the stimulus bill showed clips of government checks rolling off of the presses. Truly these folks aren't paying attention. For some, the idea of freedom can't compete with a check from the government.
Remember Peggy Joseph?

Comrades! Forward to the Future New Convention Center!

Comrades! Your help is needed! You may have heard “Times are hard”! As they are for you, so they are for your city! Revenues are down! Costs are up! Our roads are potholed! Our schools are failing! We have too many coffee shops!
Ah, yes, life in Nashville.

Congressional Budget Director has a blog

Douglas W. Elmendorf, eighth Director of CBO, has been on the job just over a month. His blog is here.

Work hours are prime porn hours

A shocking statistic, reported by Albert Mohler:

Just when you think you are past being shocked, The Washington Times now reports that pornography "is a major workplace problem in contemporary American society." Just look at what the paper reports: ...

Consider that Sex Tracker, an adult search engine, reports that 70 percent of pornography is viewed between 9 a.m. and 5 p.m. This gives a whole new meaning to the question: "What did you do at work today, honey?" ...

When courts rule that filtering pornography from public computers in a public library is unconstitutional, the public library is transformed into a pornographic playground. When employees spend company time (and government funds) viewing pornography at work, the moral character of the entire enterprise is at stake.

The real cost of pornography cannot be reduced to lost hours of labor. The far larger issue is the cost to the nation's soul. When public libraries become places parents do not let their children go, something precious is lost.

Thursday, February 26, 2009

Three magic words: "Produce the note."

ABC News has a segment on three magic words that foreclosure-endangered homeowners are using to stay in their homes: "Produce the note." 

Basically, homeowners file a writ in their local court seeking relief from paying the mortgage until the mortgage company or bank can prove it owns the debt. That is, the creditor has to produce the paperwork for the judge showing that it is entitled to the mortgage payments. 

Problem is, in the byzantine world of finance, mortgages get sold and resold and sold again. More often than not, the bank or company that wrote the note immediately factored it to a faceless financial institution, often through multiple transactions So just who actually owns the note and who is merely collecting for the note owner is not something that even banks can easily unravel. 

ABC's report says that filing a produce-the-note writ is actually successful in delaying foreclosure procedures. It does not cancel a day of reckoning, but it can postpone it, often for a long time. And homeowners should be aware that they still owe the money even if the creditor's actual identity is unclear at the moment. And interest continue to accrue even while the writ is in force.

The PDN movement is the brainchild of the Consumer Warning Network, which offers instructions on how to proceed. 

Funny, though, that in ABC's video report the homeowners using this tactic are hardly the working-class poor that the administration wants us to think foreclosure-threatened people are. As the AP reports, the mortgage-rescue bill is not playing in Peoria and offers a fact check on the president's claims

The bailout

How true, how true . . .


"There's always somebody who is paid too much, and taxed too little - and it's always somebody else" -- Cullen Hightower

Buying gold? Don't be a sucker!


This is a gold, Ultra High Relief American Eagle. Don't get led down a primrose path by goldsellers' marketing gimmicks!

Whether gold or silver is a good investment in these uncertain times is a question I'll leave for another post. This post is just a caution that caveat emptor is alive and well in the gold market as much as anywhere else.

One example: sellers representing gold or silver US Mint coins as "First Strike®" (note trademark!) and for which they charge a steep premium over the other coins of the same series. For example, Goldline sells "First Strike®" American Gold Eagles for $2,094.95, a premium of $1,140 more than gold's closing spot price of $955 on Feb. 25. Is this a deal? Is it for Goldline! You can buy today an Ultra High Relief Gold Eagle directly from the US Mint for $1,339. What's the difference between the two coins?

A "First Strike®" coin is an utterly ordinary, standard-strike coin that has been through a marketing mill to jack the price up. Gold Eagles have been made by the US Mint in the hundreds of thousands every year since 1986. The UHR Eagle is a special-production, special-process coin authorized to be struck only in 2009. The gold content in both is the same, one troy ounce. So why is the ordinary "First Strike®" Eagle $756 more than the special-issue UHR Eagle?

Good question, because "First Strike®" means pretty much nothing. "First Strike®" is not a US Mint term. It the proprietary term and invention of Professional Coin Grading Service (PCGS), a private coin-grading company that is widely used and respected among coin collectors and buyers. The term would seem to indicate that coins so labeled are those struck first during a coin's production term. Many buyers presume that those coins' impressions are therefore of higher quality. But that is not even what PCGS claims about the designation.

Beginning in 2005, PCGS began designating coins packaged and delivered by the U.S. Mint in the 30 day period following the initial sales date of a new product as First Strike®. For instance, new American Silver Eagles typically go on sale each January 1st, thus any coin packaged or delivered and submitted to PCGS for certification between January 1 and January 31 qualifies for the First Strike® designation.

According to the United States Mint, the Mint has not designated any coins as "first strike," nor does the Mint track the order in which coins are manufactured during their production. The United States Mint states that they exercise strict quality controls to assure that coins of high caliber are produced from each die set throughout its useful life. The Mint states that their manufacturing facilities use a die set as long as the quality of resulting coins meets United States Mint standards, and then replace the dies, continually changing sets throughout the production process. Coins which meet the criteria of PCGS First Strike® will be designated as a First Strike® regardless of when those coins were minted.
Translation: First Strike® coins are ordinary coins with a marketing label attached. Fact is, at least half the bullion coins to be released by the Mint in a given year are struck the previous year, and simply stored until the release date. Since the Mint does not keep track of the production order of individual coins, the First Strike® label has nothing to do with when in the run the coin was struck. As well, the Mint swaps dies out when necessary, so there's no reason in any event to presume that early coins are of higher quality than later.

eBay, of course, is a one-stop shop for coin buyers. I don't collect coins myself, but know some folks who do. They say that you can get a good coin at a good price on eBay - if you're careful, shop dispassionately and are prepared to walk away from every auction you bid on.

Research is key before buying precious metals. Sellers use gimmicks for them just as sellers do for anything else. Know what different terms actually mean and don't just accept a seller's definition. Go to another source. It's critical to research prices before buying.

Wednesday, February 25, 2009

Help! Help! I'm being oppressed!


"Come see the violence inherent in the system!"

Thus ended the NYU Food Court Occupation. The video at the link is just priceless, especially the line about "corporate water." Its narrator desperately needs some time at this exclusive seaside resort.

Oh, what the hey, here's the video of the above still:

Mortgage payers' revolt? A better way.

Should the 92 percent of American mortgage borrowers who are current on payments deliberately withhold April's mortgage payment to protest the Obama administration's mortgage bailout plan? The newly-formed 92 Percent Group says they should. I think there's a better idea.

But first, the back story. 92PG says that the Obama administration's Homeowner Affordability and Stability Plan "is unjust to the vast majority of American taxpayers."

The group specifically "oppose President Obama’s housing plan, and the incentive it creates to not pay mortgages." The housing plan, of course, is the administration's mortgage-rescue plan, to the tune of $75 billion (and up) which will give money to banks that write down interest rates on mortgages in or near default but not yet foreclosed.

Simply put, the people who pay their mortgages, or who rent, will be subsidizing the people who don't. Hence 92PG proposes,

To send a strong message to President Obama and Congress, we propose a nationwide mortgage strike in April 2009. By withholding their April mortgage payments, homeowners across the country will demonstrate the absurdity of rewarding those who do not meet their financial obligations.
I think that fratboy Otter in "Animal House" proleptically characterized this idea:

video

Here are the problems with 92PG's idea:

  • Taking money from sound borrowers in the form of increased taxes or debt burden is not what mortgage lenders are doing. It's what the Congress and administration are doing. Just how not sending a check to mortgage lenders will hit Congress or the White House escapes me.

  • A mortgage is a contract. If preserving the integrity of contracts is one of the goals, asking people to break their contracts seems hardly the way to achieve it.

  • It puts sound borrowers at risk of enduring damage to their credit ratings which may come back to haunt them. While that is happening, no member of Congress nor the president is the slightest bit challenged. Nor, for that matter, are the mortgage companies, who will simply get more bailout money if they ask for it or whose insurance will cover losses.

    How to send a signal

    There is already a widespread "American Tea Party" movement with growing momentum and big publicity. Piggyback a mortgage revolt on it.

    Incorporate into the Tea Party movement this item: everyone who opposes the mortgage welfare plan ask for a three-month extension on filing their IRS forms 1040. This extension to file is granted automatically to any tax filer who asks. It does not give you three additional months to pay income taxes, which is a shame, but consider: If the administration and Congress learn that millions of taxpayers, nay, tens of millions, have filed extensions, then the impact will strike home. A postcard from each mortgage rebel to their representatives and senators stating why they've extended will amplify the protest. This simple protest gesture will also be amplified if already associated with the general taxpayers' Tea Party revolt movement.

    I contracted to pay my mortgage on time and in the last 14 years have done that every month. I will for the rest of the note, too. Short of actually "voting the bums out," we have to get a signal to our political overlords that we are watching, we are paying attention. Mass filing extensions, accompanied by postcards to Members and already linked to a mass movement, can help fill the gap.
  • Where would we be without Fatah

    Ha'aretz reports on the hold up of the talks in Gaza. In a piece titled, Hamas: Fatah scuppered France-brokered deal for Shalit, the story covers the recent in-fighting among the Palaeostinians.

    A senior Hamas official in Gaza accused the Fatah-controlled Palestinian Authority on Tuesday of scuppering a French- and Qatari-brokered deal for the release of abducted Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit.

    Sheikh Yunis El-Astel said that French and Qatari efforts to secure the release of Shalit in return for Palestinians jailed in Israel were on the verge success when senior PA officials scuttled the deal.

    The officials did this because they feared the deal would weaken their position, El-Astel said. He further claimed that Israel had accepted all of Hamas' conditions, including the release of prisoners who were serving lengthy sentences. The Islamist militant group has reportedly asked for hundreds of prisoners, including convicted terrorists.
    Don't you love this? In the English language, scuppers are fittings in boats that prevent the excess of seawater taken on as spray from swamping the boat. Without scuppers, the boat will likely be scuttled. Talk about slips--Hamas is admitting that whatever progress is occuring in the talks is because Fatah is thwarting Hamas. Otherwise, Hamas's efforts to sink the talks would succeed, befouling the scuppers with spum, spray, and bilge, rendering the diplomatic ferry efforts flotsam and jetsam on the reefs of an uncertain stormy shore.

    Scuppered, indeed.

    Of course, who gets the blame? The Round Woman is leaning on the Israelis as the problem.

    Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has relayed messages to Israel in the past week expressing anger at obstacles Israel is placing to the delivery of humanitarian aid to the Gaza Strip. A leading political source in Jerusalem noted that senior Clinton aides have made it clear that the matter will be central to Clinton's planned visit to Israel next Tuesday.

    Ahead of Clinton's visit, special U.S. envoy to the Middle East George Mitchell is expected to issue a sharply worded protest on the same matter when he arrives here Thursday.

    "Israel is not making enough effort to improve the humanitarian situation in Gaza," senior U.S. officials told Israeli counterparts last week, and reiterated Washington's view by saying that "the U.S. expects Israel to meet its commitments on this matter."
    Yep. That's the ticket, Hil, blame the Israelis for refusing to talk until Gilad Shalit is released two and a half years after his kidnapping. Now maybe Hil doesn't want to talk about the Dalai Lama to the Chinese, but the Israelis are not going to talk to the Palaeostinians in Hamas-occupied-Gaza until the lad is returned.

    Of course, this is another example of diplomatic autocorrelation. The entire boondaggle over here is the handiwork of Billary in the first place. Since her assendency, Israelis have been waiting for the return of the most famous Kisser in Middle Eastern history.

    Having had enough of the divorce mediation approach to international relations, Israelis are talking tough to Hamas--return the kid; then we'll talk; and we don't mean bodies either. Israelis already know where Hil's sentiments lie--afterall they were shown with a kiss.

    Part of the election strategy of the Right was to elect parties to the Right of Bibi in order to hold the line against Hil and her kisser. Bibi wants to be Prime Minister. Fine. But, he's going to have to do so with a hardline government and Hil can kiss them--wherever.

    Tuesday, February 24, 2009

    Shrinking sea ice? Oops! Never mind . . .

    Bloomberg.com:

    A glitch in satellite sensors caused scientists to underestimate the extent of Arctic sea ice by 500,000 square kilometers (193,000 square miles), a California- size area, the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center said.
    Oh, yeah, well, little mistakes happen. And yes, it's true that for a full one-third of the time we've been told the earth is warming, it has actually been cooling. And this from the Center for Global Food issues, which as you may imagine has a sharp interest in climate-related matters, on scientific predictions of global cooling for more than 20 years to come:
    All of this defies the “consensus” that human-emitted carbon dioxide has been responsible for our global warming. But the evidence for man-made warming has never been as strong as its Green advocates maintained. The earth’s warming from 1915 to 1940 was just about as strong as the “scary” 1975 to 1998 warming in both scope and duration—and occurred too early to be blamed on human-emitted CO2. The cooling from 1940 to 1975 defied the Greenhouse Theory, occurring during the first big surge of man-made greenhouse emissions. Most recently, the climate has stubbornly refused to warm since 1998, even though human CO2 emissions have continued to rise strongly.
    But the facts don't matter, it's the narrative that's true.

    I have a new investment plan!

    Yes, indeed, one just right for today's economy!

    Hillary's Hamas Bail Out

    Haaretz is reporting that the US will pledge $900 million dollars to rebuild Hamastan.

    A U.S. official said on Monday, meanwhile, Washington plans to pledge more than $900 million to help rebuild Gaza after Israel's offensive against Hamas and strengthen the Palestinian Authority.

    The money will be channeled through United Nations and other bodies and will not be distributed via the militant group Hamas, which rules Gaza, said the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity as U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton plans to make the announcement next week at a Gaza donors conference in Egypt.

    Will someone please explain from where this money will come? Silly me; I thought the US was out of money and out of jobs. Looks like the average working stiffs of America are about to get stiffed again--this time to bail out kidnappers, thugs, and thieves.

    Looks like the American taxpayer is about to be pulled in two directions at the mercy of two brands of "terrorists": car makers in Detroit and bomb makers in Gaza.

    Who says crime does not pay?

    Monday, February 23, 2009

    Repeal 17th amendment? Don't stop there!

    George Will writes what I have long thought, but alas, haven't blogged about until now, namely that the 17th amendment to the US Constitution should be repealed. Will's context is a proposal by left-wing Sen. Russ Feingold to commit "vandalism against the Constitution" by amending the amendment so that all senators must be elected, including those (a la Roland Burris) filling a vacated seat between elections.

    Senators were originally mandated by the Constitution to be "chosen by the Legislature" of the states (Art. 1, Sec. 3). The 17th amendment required US senators to be elected by the voters of a state rather than selected by the legislators of the state. However, the amendment left the selection of replacement senators up to the states. Now Feingold wants to take that away, too. Will explains:

    [G]rounding the Senate in state legislatures served the structure of federalism. Giving the states an important role in determining the composition of the federal government gave the states power to resist what has happened since 1913 -- the progressive (in two senses) reduction of the states to administrative extensions of the federal government.

    Severing senators from state legislatures, which could monitor and even instruct them, made them more susceptible to influence by nationally organized interest groups based in Washington. Many of those groups, who preferred one-stop shopping in Washington to currying favors in all the state capitals, campaigned for the 17th Amendment. So did urban political machines, which were then organizing an uninformed electorate swollen by immigrants. Alliances between such interests and senators led to a lengthening of the senators' tenures.

    The Framers gave the three political components of the federal government (the House, Senate and presidency) different electors (the people, the state legislatures and the electoral college as originally intended) to reinforce the principle of separation of powers, by which government is checked and balanced.
    Since that bellwether year of 1913, separation of powers has given steadily away to a unification of power in Washington.

    The 17th amendment was a terrible mistake, but not the only one encompassed in Constitutional amendments. Its immediate predecessor, the 16th, ratified in only two months before the 17th, has proved disastrous also. It reads in whole:

    Amendment 16 - Status of Income Tax Clarified.
    The Congress shall have power to lay and collect taxes on incomes, from whatever source derived, without apportionment among the several States, and without regard to any census or enumeration.
    Note that the 16th amendment was titled a "clarification" of the status of income taxation, the reason being that the Constitution's original phrasing was not exactly a model of clarity: "No capitation, or other direct, Tax shall be laid, unless in Proportion to the Census or Enumeration herein before directed to be taken" (Art. 1, Sec. 9). Until 1913, however, it was generally understood, and so ruled by federal courts, that the Congress could not levy taxes directly upon individuals' incomes. It had to levy state governments for tax levied on personal incomes, and then only in proportion to each state's ratio of the total enumerated in the last census.

    That the direct federal tax upon individual incomes has been a disaster for the personal freedom of Americans I consider to be pretty much self evident. It led directly to the federal garnishment of wages (employer withholding) and provides a direct source for the insatiable maw of federal appetite.

    For after almost 230 years of this experiment, it is entirely apparent that, regardless of which party controls the Congress or the Executive, the federal government is a a ravenous beast that devours money and craps regulations. (Den Beste's Law: "The job of bureaucrats is to regulate, and left to themselves, they will regulate everything they can.") The only way we can retain what few freedoms we have left (see here and here) is to starve the beast. That means a tax revolt against our Washington overlords.

    There is a sort of tax revolt in incipient stages that has been nicknamed the "Tea Party USA" movement, but it is just a disorganized, mostly impromptu set of demonstrations by ordinary folks. Which is a good thing, but not the most effective thing. The Congress can always outlast such momentary displays of frustration. What would be more effective? Consider:

    When the Congress raises your income-tax rate, you can either pay it or go to jail But what of the Senate's members were chosen by state legislatures? Do you think those senators would pay more attention to a tea party movement going on among the legislators who sent them to D.C. or an unorganized bunch of Joe Dokes who got together on a weekend? Who will ring a Senator's bell more - a few dozen legislators upon whom a Senator's job actually depends, or a few hundred protesting voters whose collective power is pretty much nil?

    If the Congress could levy taxes only by working through the states' governments, and the Senate was structurally bound to the states' legislatures, the coercive and punitive nature of taxation would be happily diminished, perhaps vanquished.

    The odds of both amendments being repealed are rather remote. If I had to pick one, I'd repeal the 17th and get the Senate working for the states again, rather than itself. That would be a great first step toward starving the federal beast. But both repealing both amendments would, I think, strike a one-two punch on behalf of the people.

    Are Citibank & Bank of America dead?

    Dead but not yet buried? Financial Ninja says they are.

    Citigroup (C) declined 61% from a peak of $4.10 to an intraday low of $1.61 over just 10 trading days. Bluntly put: Citigroup is dead.

    Bank of America (BAC) declined 64% from a peak of $7.05 to an intraday low of $2.53 over just 10 trading days. Bluntly put: Bank of America is dead.

    Dead actually means dead. It is unlikely they can survive the weekend... and if they do, they most definitely cannot survive the week.
    He says that depositors are almost certainly already withdrawing their money, but bank runs today are done by mouse clicks, not like this:



    FN says that the two banks' financial charts are their obituaries. Citibank chart, BofA chart.

    Since his credentials for this sort of thing are immeasurably better than mine, I can't even try to rebut. The key, he says, is the very large investors, who have lost their shirts in only the last 10 days and are almost certainly bailing while they can. Take Saudi Prince al-Waleed bin Talal, who in November of last year - just three months - held a five percent stake in BofA, but five percent of the bank's worth then was more than the whole bank is worth now.

    Bloggingstocks.com adds:
    Several months ago, Paulson forced several financial firms to take TARP money, even though it it possible that all of them did not need it. He wanted to send the message that the financial system was being recapitalized. In BAC's case, the stock market is indicating that it cannot survive without a lifeline, and the new Administration may want to act on that before the weight of the company's liabilities completely destroys confidence in the institution.
    BAC's management, however, continues to insist the bank does not need rescuing.

    Update: Well, it turns out that Sen. Chris Dodd had a lot to do personally with the crash of bank stocks in the last few days.

    George W. Bush staying in rehab

    No, not that kind of rehab - the political rehabilitation of the former president continues, with the rehabilitator in chief being one President Barack Obama. A screen grab Glenn Reynolds posted from Memeorandum last night.

    And so new boss's Barack Obama's rehabilitation of George W. Bush continues and continues.

    Women at work

    Religious environmentalism & California's decline

    In a wide-ranging essay at newgeography.com, Joel Kotkin writes in, "Death of the California Dream,"

    Green politics came early to California and for understandable reasons: protecting the resources and beauty of the nation's loveliest landscapes. Yet in recent years, the green agenda has expanded well beyond that of the old conservationists like Theodore Roosevelt, who battled to preserve wilderness but also cared deeply about boosting productivity and living standards for the working classes. In contrast, the modern environmental movement often adopts a largely misanthropic view of humans as a "cancer" that needs to be contained. By their very nature, the greens tend to regard growth as an unalloyed evil, gobbling up resources and spewing planet-heating greenhouse gases.

    You can see the effects of the gentry's green politics up close in places like the Salinas Valley, a lovely agricultural region south of San Jose. As community leaders there have tried to construct policies to create new higher-wage jobs in the area (a project on which I've worked as a consultant), local progressives — largely wealthy people living on the Monterey coast — have opposed, for example, the expansion of wineries that might bring new jobs to a predominantly Latino area with persistent double-digit unemployment. As one winegrower told me last year: "They don't want a facility that interferes with their viewshed." For such people, the crusade against global warming makes a convenient foil in arguing against anything that might bring industrial or any other kind of middle-wage growth to the state. Greens here often speak movingly about the earth — but also about their personal redemption. They have engaged a legal and regulatory process that provides the wealthy and their progeny an opportunity to act out their desire to "make a difference" — often without real concern for the outcome. Environmentalism becomes a theater in which the privileged act out their narcissism.
    I long ago explained how environmentalism morphed into an actual religion in its own right (not an original idea with me, but I did explain the template better than anyone else, I think); see "Environmentalist religion explained."

    What Kotkin's essay illustrates is the idolatrous nature of environmentalism. In the California fringe of the movement, the ultimate end of idolatry has matured. The earth itself, Gaia, has been replaced as idol-in-chief with that which all idols are finally replaced: the self. All idolatry is projection of self worship onto another object, but it never lasts. The self demands an unmasking. Hence, as Kotkin inadvertently explains, environmentalism is simply the latest way by which self worship is carried out. However, God is not mocked.
    Thus says the Lord, the King of Israel, and his Redeemer, the Lord of hosts: I am the first and I am the last; besides me there is no god. Who is like me? Let them proclaim it, let them declare and set it forth before me. Who has announced from of old the things to come? Let them tell us what is yet to be. Do not fear, or be afraid; have I not told you from of old and declared it? You are my witnesses! Is there any god besides me? There is no other rock; I know not one.

    All who make idols are nothing, and the things they delight in do not profit; their witnesses neither see nor know. And so they will be put to shame. Who would fashion a god or cast an image that can do no good? Look, all its devotees shall be put to shame; the artisans too are merely human. Let them all assemble, let them stand up; they shall be terrified, they shall all be put to shame. ...

    They do not know, nor do they comprehend; for their eyes are shut, so that they cannot see, and their minds as well, so that they cannot understand. No one considers, nor is there knowledge or discernment... .
    Is it any coincidence that the decline of California coincides with, among other trends, the idolatrous narcissism of California elites? I think not.

    Friday, February 20, 2009

    Where there's a will . . .

    ... there's a way.

    It matters which you choose

    Think hard - which two of the three would you prefer prevail? Which ones flourish in free, democratic states, and which cannot? Which ones promote the rights of women and which oppresses them? Under which one would you personally be least free?

    Oval office desk signs

    "The buck stops here."







    "The Buck Would Stop Here If We Had A Buck!"






    Then there's this!

    HT: The ever-readable Gerard Van Der Leun; read it all.

    If Only They Could See

    Way, way back in December, 1979, I was in gradual school at the University of Washington. I had just returned from a year of language studies in south India and was mildly interested in alternative employment opportunities. I got a call from the Placement Office asking if would entertain a meeting with the NW recruiter for the CIA. "Sure," I said.

    Shortly thereafter, I received a call from a mysterious Colonel X who asked if I would meet him at the Federal Building, in beautiful downtown Portland, Oregon. I was heading to California to meet my girl friend's parents so we agreed to meet on the way south. I was instructed to go to the rear elevator, go to the fifth floor, and we would meet in an office he had borrowed just for that interview. Oh yes, I should bring my girl friend.

    Well, we took the wrong elevator, took the wrong corridor, and were greeted by two HUGE gentlemen dressed in three piece suits less the jacket and very substantial side arms. We were ushered into Colonel X's borrowed office, which was decorated with scores of images of Colonel X in various action poses.

    The interview unfolded at a delicate pace. He as considering me for an analyst position in their "MA Shop" with 1200 other analysts and would be expected to generate a MA Thesis a week--for example, everything that could be known about the cabinet officers of the Pakistani government--EVERYTHING. Of course, nothing about my work there could be on a resume and if I wanted to continue my gradual education, there was no Uncle Sugar scholarship available (just 3 grants per year available for 1200 dudes and dudettes).

    I had not minded the mistaken identity of a Kurdish scholar when I had just completed a Diploma in Tamil Studies at Kamaraj Madurai University, in Tamil Nadu. He did not mind that I had experimented with SDS in college ("we all make mistakes"). But the lack of educational benefits for me was the deal breaker. I declined. Thinking that maybe I would reapply after I completed my PhD, I asked what were the burning questions facing the CIA and State Department in December of 1979.

    "Well," he said, sez he. "We are a bit puzzled by the resurgence of religious politics in the world today. Now, being a student of sociology, you of course know that the theories of modernity and secularization of capitalist society should be sweeping away the antequated notions of religious identification--to say nothing of religious ethnic political movements. And yet, we are confronted with continued religous cleavages in Ireland, South Asia, and the Middle East is a mess. Now, THAT's a question WE would like answered."

    Okaaay. With that, I was ushered out the proper door, down to the parking garage with a validated parking sticker and an entrance card to the CIA compatibility tests given regularly at the UW. My girl friend was impressed. She asked what I thought. I said that after living in India for a year, where EVERYTHING is based on relgious ethnic affiliation, I was having a really difficult time. How so, she asked. I always thought the CIA knew everything.

    Maybe if I had not gone south, things would have been different. Thirty nine years later, nothing has changed. The US still ignores the importance of religion in international matters. The result? I have written here before that Iran WILL get its bomb and WILL use it on Israel.

    Over at Pajama's Media, someone else has the same idea. In an Open Letter To President Obama on Appeasing Iran, 'Reza Kahlili' writes the same thing. Iran WILL get its bomb, Iran WILL use that bomb on Israel, and Iran WILL do so for RELIGIOUS reasons.

    Just as Carter and Company had not a clue how to deal with the then unfolding Tehran Hostage Situation, Obama and Company still have not a clue how to deal the same players of the same Hostage Situation. If anything, the US is still a hostage to the same student activists. With all the money in the alleged Stimulus Package, maybe Obama and Company should at least listen to Dennis Miller, break into the Piggy Bank, and buy a clue.

    Of course, all that is predicated that if turned to face the light, they would be able to see. If only.

    Glenn Reynolds' favorite drink revealed

    He has made no secret of his obessession. Is this what his refrigerator is filled with?

    Wednesday, February 18, 2009

    Enuff with the doomsdaying, already

    The Guardian, UK: 'Apocalyptic climate predictions' mislead the public, say experts.

    Experts at Britain's top climate research centre have launched a blistering attack on scientific colleagues and journalists who exaggerate the effects of global warming.

    The Met Office Hadley Centre, one of the most prestigious research facilities in the world, says recent "apocalyptic predictions" about Arctic ice melt and soaring temperatures are as bad as claims that global warming does not exist. Such statements, however well-intentioned, distort the science and could undermine efforts to tackle carbon emissions, it says.
    A welcome call, but one I do not think will be heeded. There is too much money to be made by the most strident voices. Moderated commentary is mostly ignored by the media and scientists or research centers who say that things are not really all that bad, no matter the soundness of their science, don't get big grants and awards. Why? Because the money, hence the agenda, is controlled not by scientists but by politicians. The article points out,
    The criticism reflects mounting concern at the Met Office that the global warming debate risks being hijacked by people on both sides who push their own agendas and interests. It comes ahead of a key year of political discussions on climate, which climax in December with high-level political negotiations in Copenhagen, when officials will try to hammer out a successor to the Kyoto protocol.
    So the Met Office's call for sanity and sound, non-politicized science is welcome, but won't be heeded. Whole careers, both scientific and political, have been made and depend upon climate alarmism.

    I again commend to you my essay, "Environmentalist religion explained," which explains how environmentalism long ago became, as Michael Crichton wrote, "a perfect 21st century remapping of traditional Judeo-Christian beliefs and myths." Environmentalism emphasizes apocalypticism, which has in fact become central to its entire belief system. So it won't be surrendered easily (or, say I, at all).

    The apocalyptic nature of climate alarmism forms a perfect confluence between science and politics. has there ever been a time in all history when scientists (not, mind you, actual science) have been hailed by politicians as so essential to forming policy for the future of the world? The permanent interest of politicians is to retain their power and then increase it. Environmentalism is the best vehicle going to do that.

    No less a personage than physicist Freeman Dyson pointed out (cited in my essay) that, "Environmentalism has replaced socialism as the leading secular religion." I demur. Environmentalism has not replaced socialism at all. Instead, the old-line socialists, faced with decades of the failure of political socialism, have jumped on the environmentalist bandwagon to keep socialism alive. Environmentalism has become a much better vehicle to achieve a rigid regulation of people's lives than political socialism ever was. After all, the fate of the entire planet is at stake!

    Environmentalism has already led some British members of Parliament to propose that the government regulate almost every aspect of buying and selling by private individuals. If this is not socialism, it is a distinction without a difference.

    So there you are. At bottom, modern environmentalism has discarded scientific rigor to embrace something not much different than Leninism, the desire to control the major components of the way individuals live. From there it is a short step for environmentalism to Leninism's successor: Stalinism, the desire to control every aspect of the way we live. That's our future, minus the gulags. We hope.

    TEOLAWKI - now it's really serious

    Of the many ways we face The End Of Life As We Know It - including the supernova and galaxy-attack scenarios, the massive gas cloud speeding toward a collision with the Milky Way, the earth's atmosphere may detonate and then the asteroids and black hole death stars or we might be swallowed whole by the sun - none evoke in me the feeling of dread and horror as much as this:

    "A World Without Chocolate? Without Conservation Efforts, Cacao Could One Day Be in Short Supply."

    It's hard to imagine Valentine's Day without chocolate, but some scientists say that it's possible that chocolate could one day be in short supply. ...

    Scientists say that now it is chocolate's sustainability that needs to be monitored. The Ghana-based Nature Conservation Research Center warns that chocolate may become as rare and expensive as caviar within 20 years.

    A number of factors, including climate change, are affecting the farming and production of cacao, or the cocoa plant.

    Howard Shapiro, global director for plant science and external research for confectionery manufacturing Mars Inc. of McLean, Va., said measures must be taken soon to prevent shortages of chocolate.

    "If nothing was done, and the temperature was to rise, and the rainfalls were to change and drought became more prevalent ... without looking into new farming practices, then there should be a problem, and there might likely be a problem," he said.
    It's not bad enough that we might all be wiped out by the thousands of unmapped and undetectable dark comets, or the intense beam of gamma rays coming our way. Then there was the fear that "human society is very quickly headed to a violent and disturbing end." Then the earth began to kill people for changing its climate. Then there is the voracious, galactic Hoover in Switzerland that will suck the whole planet into a black hole. And the massive destruction along the coasts of countries like the USA, UK and many on the African continent, within a matter of hours.

    I tell ya, I'm starting to think that sooner or later, every one of us is going to wind up dead. And with no chocolate, what's to live for?

    Tuesday, February 17, 2009

    It's the lead

    Glenn Reynolds (in full):

    JUSTICE DEPARTMENT defends Bush rule on guns. “The Obama administration is legally defending a last-minute rule enacted by President George W. Bush that allows concealed firearms in national parks, even as it is internally reviewing whether the measure meets environmental muster.” Good for them. Hard to imagine a serious environmental objection to the rule, though.
    Well, it's the fact that bullets contain lead, in fact, most bullets are nothing but lead. What else could an "environmental muster" be? (Lead shot is already banned for waterfowl hunting.)

    Or, just as good - the guns will be banned "for the sake of the children." Firearms will be denounced as an environmental hazard to children.

    Surely, Don, you overreach, you may say? Well, no. Keeping lead away from children is one of bureaucracy's favorite duties now. Consider this headline: "Lead Ban Stops Youth ATV and Motorcycle Sales," written on Feb. 2:

    [T]he Consumer Product Safety Improvement Act of 2008, enacted August 14 of last year, will go into effect [on Feb. 10] and ban all products designed for children ages 12 or under which contain lead over specified limits. ...

    What exactly happens on Feb 10 for motorcycle dealers? "On February 10 large inventories of motorcycle and ATV products that present no health risk to children could be rendered retroactively illegal and future products prohibited from sale. These products may need to be destroyed resulting in severe hardship for dealers and manufacturers in the motorcycle industry. Along with the current state of the economy, this may be a hit that dealers and manufacturers will not be able to recover from."

    But wait, there's more. City Journal on, "The New Book Banning":
    [U]nder a law [the same one -- DS] Congress passed last year aimed at regulating hazards in children’s products, the federal government has now advised that children’s books published before 1985 should not be considered safe and may in many cases be unlawful to sell or distribute. Merchants, thrift stores, and booksellers may be at risk if they sell older volumes, or even give them away, without first subjecting them to testing—at prohibitive expense. Many used-book sellers, consignment stores, Goodwill outlets, and the like have accordingly begun to refuse new donations of pre-1985 volumes, yank existing ones off their shelves, and in some cases discard them en masse.
    That's the tack that the Obama administration will take: it's the lead that's the problem, so guns must be banned from federal lands. This is not a new tactic, of course, since opponents of Second Amendment rights have long tried to shut down firearms use by trying to cripple ammunition makers and users with absolute liability for ammunition use. It won't matter, either, that ammunition without any lead at all is available on the civilian market. A way will be found, a reason will be given. The present "defense" of the Bush rule is just theater.

    Do Not Try This At Home

    All day long, I've been listening to the big birds from Gaza make their turn over Efrat and head back. Of course, no one is talking about what's going on other than the Headhunters are keeping up their bluff over Shalit.

    Nevertheless, in honor of those young men in their big birds, I found this clip from LiveLeak.com on the Right Stuff. Just incredible.



    Thanks, guys, for doing your jobs.

    The stimulus bill explained in one paragraph

    You can't make this stuff up: Seattle will charge water customers a surcharge to pay for the rebate checks the city will send out.

    The Seattle City Council is expected Tuesday to approve a surcharge on city water customers to help cover the cost of a $22 million court-ordered rebate to water customers.
    Now you understand how the "stimulus" bill will work.

    HT: American Digest

    Monday, February 16, 2009

    Islamism v. the West

    "Islam and the West: Lines of Demarcation - What it is about our civilization that causes such resentment, and why we must defend it," by Roger Scruton. Like everything Roger Scruton writes, drop what you're doing and go read it.

    Sunday, February 15, 2009

    True Colors

    The only way to describe the process to negotiate a truce between Hamas and Israel at the hands of the Egyptians is "badminton diplomacy". Instead of a ping pong ball or basketball, the players are using shuttle-cocks, or birdies. In effect this means that Israel cannot fire a fast tennis serve across the court, and Hamas can rewrite the rules whenever it wants, while Egypt has a tantrum that Hamas is spoiling the party. As a result, the Israeli negotiators shuttle back and forth between Cairo and Jerusalem with little effect and no velocity.

    So, yesterday, Olmert, a man with nothing to lose, finally came out and stated the terms explicitly--No Shalit, no border crossings. If the young captive is not part of the deal, there is no deal.

    So, Hamas sent in its top Head Hunter who immediately snarled that the demand for Shalit was a stall tactic--a deal was just about to be reached and now Israel was blackmailing Hamas to stop the process. Of course, within hours, the demand for the top Hamas terrorists for Shalit or nothing.

    Now, a couple of years ago, this stance was used very effectively by Nasrallah in his negotiations with Israel over the return of two IDF soldiers. Until their remains were returned across the border, the Israeli public continued to believe that their boys were alive. To Hizbullah, the idea that the Israelis would release hundreds of murders, thugs, and thieves for two bodies was a joke--the Israelis are freiers.

    So, now Hamasniks say they have a young man but will not return him. Israelis fear the worst. No one will say this. What they will admit quietly, especially the vets, is that the hope and pray he is alive; but they fear the headhunters took him long ago.

    At this moment, Hamas is showing its true colors. It is time to let Shalit go home.

    America is, in fact, bankrupt


    Much moaning and groaning has been going on about how the $800 billion "stimulus" bill will saddle future generations with mountains of debt. And it will, though that's not my main complaint (which is this).

    However, future generations were already saddled with not a mountain of debt, but a Himalaya range of debt. In fact, using Generally Accept Accounting Practices, a formal set of accounting procedures abbreviated as GAAP and the kind used to audit corporations, the total American federal debt actually is greater than the economic output of the entire world.

    [T]he American public is largely unaware that the true deficit of the federal government already is measured in trillions of dollars, and in fact its $65.5 trillion in total obligations exceeds the gross domestic product of the world.

    [chart from Shadow Government Statistics]

    The total U.S. obligations, including Social Security and Medicare benefits to be paid in the future, effectively have placed the U.S. government in bankruptcy, even before new continuing social welfare obligation embedded in the massive spending plan are taken into account.

    The real 2008 federal budget deficit was $5.1 trillion, not the $455 billion previously reported by the Congressional Budget Office, according to the "2008 Financial Report of the United States Government" as released by the U.S. Department of Treasury.

    The difference between the $455 billion "official" budget deficit numbers and the $5.1 trillion budget deficit cited by "2008 Financial Report of the United States Government" is that the official budget deficit is calculated on a cash basis, where all tax receipts, including Social Security tax receipts, are used to pay government liabilities as they occur.

    John Gordon Steele, writing in the WSJ, put it this way (added Feb. 18):
    It has been widely noted that 2009 will have the first "trillion-dollar deficit" in American history. Actually it's the second. In fiscal 2008, the national debt increased from $9 trillion to slightly over $10 trillion. Yet the budget deficit in the last fiscal year was officially reported as being $455 billion. How could the national debt have increased by considerably more than twice the "deficit"? Simple. Just call the money borrowed from the Social Security trust fund an "intragovernmental transfer" and exclude it from the calculation of the deficit.
    (You didn't really think that your social-security payments are banked somewhere, did you? Nope, every dollar the government takes in this month is spent next month, including your SS and FICA payments. Fact is, there is not a penny in your social security account. The Social Security Trust Fund has a permanent balance of zero.)

    The way Washington pols talk about a deficit is in terms of accounting using a cash-accrual method, which simply compares a single year's tax receipts with expenditures. GAAP takes into account the liabilities that extend into the future resulting from all government operations and projected revenue/expenditure streams. The river of red is actually much worse than we are led to believe.
    "The federal government's deficit is hemorrhaging at a pace which threatens the viability of the financial system," [economist John] Williams added. "The popularly reported 2009 [deficit] will clearly exceed $2 trillion on a cash basis and that full amount has to be funded by Treasury borrowing.

    "It's not likely this will happen without the Federal Reserve acting as lender of last resort for the Treasury by buying Treasury debt and monetizing the debt," he said.
    "Monetizing" the debt means inflating the currency so that debt holders are paid back with decreasingly valuable dollars. Holders of federal debt are those who purchase federal bonds, which pay back later a sum greater than the purchase price now, the rate of return being fixed at the time of purchase and without regard to future value of the currency. Because the government's debt is so massive, there's no real hope of paying off its debt with present-value money. Inflating the currency has the effect of discounting the earnings of the bonds. If the currency is inflated enough the bonds can be actually repaid for less than they were bought (measured by purchasing power). And not only bonds but future obligations, mainly social security and other subsidies will have to be handled this way. Williams explains,
    "Put simply, there is no way the government can possibly pay for the level of social welfare benefits the federal government has promised unless the government simply prints cash and debases the currency, which the government will increasingly be doing this year."
    However, inflation always puts upward pressure on interest rates since debt buyers aren't stupid. Knowing that a million dollars in face-value today will drop by, say, 15 percent by maturity date, they will stop buying until the government raises the yield. And the government must raise the yield because otherwise it won't get the cash it needs to operate. There is not one single dollar in cash reserves. No debt buyers means no money to pay social security, medicare, prescription benefits or federal payroll this month.

    The only thing America has going for it is the fact that other nations' economies are neither large nor strong enough to offer safe haven to investors or nations like China or the oil countries that have large cash reserves. China is flush with cash from exports, the Gulf states from oil sales, though their flushness has been shrinking over the last year or so. Still, they have to do something with the money.
    China will continue to buy US Treasury bonds even though it knows the dollar will depreciate because such investments remain its “only option” in a perilous world, a senior Chinese banking regulator said on Wednesday.

    China has used the dollars it accumulates selling manufactured goods to US consumers to accumulate the world’s largest holding of Treasuries. …

    Mr Luo, speaking at the Global Association of Risk Management’s 10th Annual Risk Management Convention, said: “Except for US Treasuries, what can you hold?” he asked. “Gold? You don’t hold Japanese government bonds or UK bonds. US Treasuries are the safe haven. For everyone, including China, it is the only option.”

    Mr Luo, whose English tends toward the colloquial, added: “We hate you guys. Once you start issuing $1 trillion-$2 trillion [$1,000bn-$2,000bn] . . .we know the dollar is going to depreciate, so we hate you guys but there is nothing much we can do.”
    Since the downturn in Europe is even more severe than here, Mr, Luo is right - it's T-bills or nothing.

    Note, though, that Mr. Luo explicitly understands the inflationary pressures selling this much debt will have on US currency. So get ready for a return to the misery index, and it won't be pretty.

    Saturday, February 14, 2009

    Blue Angels on the deck

    Bernard Zee has posted some outstanding photos of the Blue Angels flying at San Francisco's Fleet Week. Click here.

    He got a super series of photos of the "sneak" solo of the show, which is when the four-plane formation flies from left to right, so that everyone's head is turned to the right when a solo plane blasts by from the left at about 700 mph and 25 feet off the ground or water (water in this case).

    Here's a video of the flyby.

    Friday, February 13, 2009

    Is NATO approaching its end game?

    NATO gets slapped around, sort of like this:



    In October, I asked the question, "What has NATO done for us? " in which I concluded,

    I think the United States should reassess whether the NATO alliance really is serving American interests. I don't think it is, and I don't think it will do better in years to come. Though we must stay politically engaged, I think we'd be better off withdrawing from the military alliance, and work toward building an Anglosphere military alliance in its stead.
    Then in December came Nick Witney, "former chief executive of the European Defense Agency: and "senior policy fellow with the European Council on Foreign Relations," who agreed with me. Witney said that the alliance itself should be dissolved ("The Death of NATO"). That's implicit in my argument also because without the United States, there is no military trans-Atlantic alliance in any meaningful sense, anyway. Witney says that the European Union should establish its own security arrangements and let NATO shrivel away.

    Comes now David Davis, a former British Foreign Office minister and shadow home secretary, who says, "Nato is creaking - The alliance is imperilled from within and without. Members urgently need to reassess its ambition."
    Nato is at risk. The North Atlantic Treaty Organisation's principal purpose is preserving the peace in Europe. In maintaining that peace it has been arguably the most successful international organisation to date. But as we approach its 60th anniversary in April, its historic effectiveness is now being put in jeopardy.

    Defence secretary John Hutton has indicated that he would be willing for a European army to sit alongside Nato. This is not a proposal for new forces, simply a new organisation. By definition it will have different aims, and so will only deplete Nato and undermine its efforts. It would also deplete Britain's ability to use its national army. For every soldier under European Union command, there is one less soldier able to fulfil British military obligations.

    As for Nato's fighting capability, its reputation has taken a heavy knock after involvement in Afghanistan. Isaf, its organisation there, has been crippled by the so-called national caveats of many of the members, which limit where individual armies can be deployed and their operational purposes.
    Like I said. And returns from Vice President Biden's diplomacy at the 45th Munich Security Conference give no cause for encouragement that with Barack Obama in the Oval Office that NATO will be more supportive of US goals in Afghanistan or anywhere else.

    TEOLAWKI yet again


    Dark comets are those from which ice has evaporated, making them less visible in space. Scientists say there are thousands of them!

    TEOLAWKI, The End Of Life As We Know It, is an ever-present threat. Now we learn that "Unseen dark comets 'could pose deadly threat to earth'." Astronomers might not see them until just before impact! We're doomed.

    Actually, comets have messed the earth up before. The comet Genondahwayanung pretty much annihilated most life in North America when it came here the first time.

    But that's not all. Don't forget the supernova and galaxy-attack scenarios. And then the massive gas cloud speeding toward a collision with the Milky Way! Then we learn that the earth's atmosphere may detonate. And then the asteroids. Then the black hole death stars! And we might be swallowed whole by the sun. And there's an intense beam of gamma rays coming our way. Then there was the fear that "human society is very quickly headed to a violent and disturbing end." Then the earth began to kill people for changing its climate. Then there is the voracious, galactic Hoover in Switzerland that will suck the whole planet into a black hole. And the massive destruction along the coasts of countries like the USA, UK and many on the African continent, within a matter of hours.

    I tell ya, I'm starting to think that sooner or later, every one of us is going to wind up dead.

    Thursday, February 12, 2009

    Not in a union? We got nuthin' for ya.

    The Obama administration has no truck with workers unless they're unionized or illegally in the country. As for the 93 percent who are neither, who needs 'em, anyway?

    By now it is obvious that when the Obama administration says it's trying to get American workers back on the job, it means unionized workers. The administration has nothing for the 93 percent of private-sector, non-union members.

    Exhibit A: President Obama signed an executive order to ensure that federal contracts being put out for bid should specify that "only companies with unionized labor can bid on federal contracts," according to dcexaminer.com ("Obama hands union bosses more pay-back"). The Examiner goes on to point out,

    Costs increase as much as 20 percent as a result on contracts to build critically needed infrastructure like roads, bridges and office buildings.
    Obama’s executive order thus bars from federal contracting thousands of companies that employee the 93 percent of private sector workers who are not union members. This is grossly discriminatory in addition to being a blatant pay-back to the labor bosses who control a tiny minority of all private sector workers. Forcing government contracts to include PLAs will also cost taxpayers more. Between 2001 and 2007 when PLAs were not mandatory for federal contracting, more than $123 billion in federal contracts were awarded. Those contracts would likely have cost federal taxpayers about $25 billion more had they included PLAs.
    The Examiner's analysis is not exactly right on - the executive order Obama signed does not actually require the use of union labor on any contract. But comes now GovernmentExecutive.com's "fedblog," which sees the order as a decidedly pro-union step:
    [W]hile the order doesn't mandate that labor agreements be used on all projects, one provision of the order does open up the possibility of broader implementation down the road. One section of the order reads:
    The Director of OMB, in consultation with the Secretary of Labor and with other officials as appropriate, shall provide the President within 180 days of this order, recommendations about whether broader use of project labor agreements, with respect to both construction projects undertaken under Federal contracts and construction projects receiving Federal financial assistance, would help to promote the economical, efficient, and timely completion of such projects.
    So keep an eye out for future developments sometime this summer.
    Gee, what "future developments" might this distinctly "pro-labor" (meaning pro-union) site have in mind, if not the actual requirement?

    National Right to Work points out,
    President Obama’s new executive order comes a week after he issued two other executive orders giving the Secretary of Labor unchecked, unprecedented authority to blacklist non-union employees wanting to work on federal contracts.

    Taken together, the new executive orders indicate President Obama is quite eager to repay the union bosses for spending well over one billion dollars (in mostly forced union dues) to elect Obama and other pro-forced unionism candidates.

    Moreover, Big Labor’s high command is likely to funnel that money right back into its political machine in expectation of even more forced unionism power grabs – including efforts toward the ultimate goal of eliminating all 22 state Right to Work laws by federal fiat.
    Which is also a point buttressed by DCExaminer: "The negative effects of Obama’s PLA payback to the labor bosses will extend to state and local government, too, as they often pattern their contracting practices after the federal government."

    The Boston Globe reported that "Stephen Sandherr, chief executive officer of the Associated General Contractors of America, issued a statement:
    "Today's executive order has the unfortunate potential to limit contractors' ability to compete for projects at a time when the government is reporting that over one million construction workers have lost their jobs. Given that federal agencies have no demonstrated expertise in writing contracts that cover contractors and their employees, we strongly encourage officials to exercise the discretion this order provides and avoid government-mandated labor agreements," he said.
    But wait, there's more to the administrations anti-worker stance. Take, for example, Obama's desire not to require employers to verify the legal status of their new hires. The Chicago Tribune's John Kass says bluntly, "Democrats undercut aid for U.S. workers" as part of the administration's stimulus package:
    What's been quietly stripped is a provision that would have required any businesses receiving federal stimulus cash to use an easy computer program called E-Verify to make sure that the jobs they generate go to American citizens or documented foreign workers, not illegal immigrants. ...

    E-Verify, offered free to all employers since 2004 as a way to combat illegal Immigration, allows employers to determine the legal work status of potential employees by searching their names and Social Security numbers along with other databases.

    It's cheap to operate, and more than 96 percent of job applicants are cleared by the program within minutes. This makes it almost impossible for employers to skirt the system and hire cheap, illegal labor.

    But the House Democrats approved it and Senate Democrats peeled it away, a version of the old political con game played out in Washington to trick the suckers back home.
    How is this anti-worker and pro-union? Simple. To get a union job, you have to have a union card. I'm willing to bet that Jose Rodriguez, late of Mexico or Guatemala, lacks one. And, lacking a valid SSN, Jose can't be assigned union benefits of monetary value in any event. But unscrupulous employers, who are many, are now empowered by this administration to hire as many unlawful aliens as they want. (Until, that is, they want a fat government contract.) Next to come from the hope-and-change folks, I predict, will be very lax, if any, federal action taken against employers of illegal aliens.

    All this will freeze out employment of non-union, American and legal-resident workers. The administration will move from "encouraging" union-only bids for government contracts to requiring it, and is incentivizing employers to hire illegal aliens, who work for less money than legals.
    And this from an administration that claims to want to put Americans back to work and stimulate the economy.

    The Future is Sooo Bright, I Gotta Wear Shades

    It took a day of political meetings and deal making before the obvious was publicly acknowledged. There is no way Livni can form a government, even though she won the pagent.

    A day of coalition talks made it clear to Livni that Netanyahu had a considerable advantage in forming a government. However, she said she was determined to try, mainly for the sake of all the left-wing voters who abandoned Labor and Meretz and voted for her.

    Livni said that if she fails to put together a coalition within a few days she will have to decide between joining the opposition or a government headed by Netanyahu.

    If Lieberman recommends Livni to President Shimon Peres as his choice for forming the government she would immediately lose her recommendation from Labor and Meretz, political sources said.

    Six months ago, with a bloc of 70 center and left-wing MKs, Livni failed to form a coalition. Now, say the sources, she will not be able to do so now with a 44-strong bloc consisting of Kadima, Meretz and Labor, or a hypothetical 43-strong bloc of Kadima and Yisrael Beiteinu, the sources said.

    According to the sources, Livni and Netanyahu are playing a complex game - she is unwilling to give up and as long as she digs in her heels he is forced to pay more to his "natural" coalition partners. However, if he refuses to pay them and fails to put together a narrow coalition then Livni won't join him.


    So, it's business as usual. Now the process is one of deal making. Already Netanyahu is being labelled by Ha'aretz as the head of a 65 seat "right wing ultra-Orthodox" bloc of Knesset members. After several weeks of rather intense political exoriation, the various members of that bloc have to thrash out their overlap and minimize their vilification. It should take about 15 minutes.

    Even the combatants in the Shas/Israel Beitenu rift, the former calling the latter "The Satan", are all smiles about their upcoming collaboration.

    (IsraelNN.com) Shas chairman Eli Yishai spoke in glowing terms about the national camp's strong showing in the elections and hinted broadly that his party would be happy to sit alongside Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu. These statements could be seen as surprising, in view of the fact that Shas's last election commercials showed its spiritual leader, Rabbi Ovadia Yosef, comparing a vote for Lieberman to support for the devil himself (HaSatan).

    Yishai met with Likud chairman Binyamin Netanyahu for 90 minutes in the Likud's Knesset offices early Wednesday afternoon.

    When he came out of the meeting, Yishai spoke to reporters about the outcome of the election. Far from bemoaning the fact that support for "the Devil" has grown – he sounded very happy about it.

    "It is a huge achievement, that the Likud rose by 15 Knesset seats, that Lieberman rose by 4 seats and that Shas maintained its strength," he said. "It is a huge and impressive achievement, baruch Hashem."

    Now, if the Devil and the Rebbe at the same table together is not a miracle of Biblical proportions, then we are all hard pressed to find one.

    Indeed, unlike other Israeli elections in recent years, the results of this one are quite clear. The left's mixed message policies dealing with Gaza, Lebanon, the economy, education, and housing, just to name a few, have been less than bathos. Daily rocket and mortar rounds in the south, an embarrassing engagement in the north with even more rockets in 2006, and an complete and utter policy failure resulting from the Disengagment from Gaza in 2005, all combined to create a bomb-proof block of MKs in the coming Knesset.

    Livni's choice is pretty clear but not easy. Unless she wants to sing her swan song, she is going to have to deal with Netanyahu. Otherwise she will have to sit on the bench.

    This morning, Ha'aretz has a piece on the White House's reaction to the elections.

    Israeli elections signal a strong democracy but until a new prime minister is named, it is unclear what the results mean for peace in the Mideast, White House spokesman Robert Gibbs said Wednesday.

    Gibbs added that U.S. President Barack Obama looks forward to working with the next prime minister of the U.S. ally.

    Come on, dude. If you cannot see what's happenin' here, you need to wear glasses. Maybe shades would be better since the light is really intense. Yeah, that's the ticket. The light is so bright. Gotta wear shades!

    Wednesday, February 11, 2009

    Conventional Wisdom

    The conventional wisdom of US politicos appears to hold in Israel as well--large numbers favor the Left. As of 2:52 am Jerusalem time, with 81.4% of the votes counted, Kadima leads Likud 28 to 27 seats. In terms of a two party race, Livni wins over Netanyahu given a very high voter turnout.

    But this is not basketball. In a multi-party system, where a majority rarely occurs, it is the second string parties that carry the day. It is at this level that the true pulse of the Israeli electorate can be felt. Labor has 12 seats but Israel Beteinu has 15 seats. Shas remains firm at 10 seats. Even though she wins by a nose, Livni now faces the task of putting together a government--something she was not able to do in the fall after Olmert bowed out. All things being equal, Shas remains the coalition maker with its projected 10 seat bloc.

    The real story here is the second string parties to emerge. Labor lost significantly with the dark horse party, Israel Beteinu, winning a clear victory: 15 seats to Labor's 12. Labor's significant loss reflects voters supporting Livni center left stance and she is more personable than Barak. Any variable support for Netanyahu seemed to have been redistributed to several national and right wing parties, Lieberman being the clear leader of this powerful new national/religious bloc. Excluding Shas, this sector of the new political landscape makes up a projected 28 seats--equal in number to Kadima's projected win.

    As a result, Livni's win at the polls is entirely pyrrhic. She wins the beauty contest over Netanyahu but does not have the "kelim" to make the government. Already, Netanyahu is making the moves to put together the next government.

    (IsraelNN.com) Likud chairman Binyamin Netanyahu will meet with Israel Is Our Home (Yisrael Beiteinu) leader Avigdor Lieberman Wednesday in attempt to eliminate any possibility of a government led by Kadima leader Tzipi Livni.

    Shas reiterated its backing for Likud, and Netanyahu also called on the Jewish Home, which exit polls indicated will win four mandates, to join a coalition. He made no mention of Ichud Leumi (National Union), which is projected to place three MKs in the next Knesset.

    Livni's chances of forming a national unity government appeared dismal as initial results show that her lead in the exit polls is disappearing.

    Lieberman told supporters he is not ruling out any coalition, but the chances of Livni forming a national unity government are almost nil. If the exit polls are correct, she would need both Likud and Yisrael Beiteinu for a coalition, but MK Lieberman's demands for a loyalty oath and his opposition to any ceasefire with Hamas virtually negate her chances of success.

    Should be a long night for poker players.

    Tuesday, February 10, 2009

    Democracy Israeli Style

    Regardless of how people hold with respect to Israel, its politics, its people, all must agree that it is a democracy. What makes it an albeit contentious democracy? The Ballot Box.

    With terrible rain squalls, Israelis are turning out in large numbers to exercise their franchise. With a range of political views and a huge field, all agree that a lot is riding on this election.





    Of course, the Israeli political system is complex. You really need a scorecard to tell the players apart. Each party has a special symbol, which is printed on a card. The voter goes behind a screen, selects ONE card, puts it in their ballot sleeve, and puts the sealed ballot in the ballot box. No chads.



    But, you really have to read the posted instructions carefully.






    Of course, what makes the whole thing work is that everyone knows the system requires an advanced degree, so the polling officials are very helpful. In the Galilee, where we voted, the process was orderly with one person in the room and voting at a time. The mood was serious but friendly.

    By 4pm, 41% of Israel's eligible voters had cast their ballots. By 6pm, at least 51% of Israelis had voted. This is one of the highest voter turnouts in recent years.



    The turn out is so high that the ultra religious parties are very concerned that they will lose out. This is especially worrisome for Shas. Like the political rule of thumb in the States, low turn out is good for conservatives, higher turnouts bring out the new voters and those who vote irregularly.


    The true beneficiaries of the high turnout will be the small parties. Kadima, Labor, and Likud all campaigned pretty close to the center of the political spectrum. While this may be good in a low turnout or two party system, in a multi-party system, the winning strategy is to be as distinct as possible. This was certainly the approach taken by Israel Beteinu, the dark horse right wing party that is challenging Labor for the number two party coalition maker.



    Unlike the US system, Israelis do not play "to win" an election. They campaign for position. In other words, the goal of a given political party is to attract votes--not with the hope of winning but with the hope of showing up in the Knesset with a few seats. No one party can win a true majority of members in the Knesset. Rather, the best that can be hoped for is to win a plurality. The winner has to form a government, but cannot do it alone. Hence, it needs to have a coalition partner. In this election, Likud as been the assumed winner. As a result, the political mavens have been trying to earn the number two spot in order to provide Likud with a back.


    The question Israel is waiting for is which way will the Center be pulled--to the Right or to the Left. The Answer will be found in the Ballot Box. In a Democracy, voters have the last word--not armed thugs in black sky masks or white bedsheets.

    Pretty scary, huh?

    Monday, February 9, 2009

    Tree Removal Fail

    This is not the way to remove deadwood from the economy.

    Thursday, February 5, 2009

    Hamas robs UN at gunpoint

    The AP reports

    JERUSALEM (AP) — Armed Hamas police broke into a Gaza warehouse packed with U.N. humanitarian supplies and seized thousands of blankets and food packages, officials said Wednesday. ...

    In New York, U.N. deputy spokeswoman Marie Okabe said UNRWA "condemned in the strongest terms" the confiscation of its aid supplies. The U.N. demanded the items be returned, but they remained with Hamas late Wednesday.

    Hamas policemen stormed an aid warehouse in Gaza City Tuesday evening and confiscated 3,500 blankets and over 400 food parcels ready for distribution to 500 families, said United Nations Relief and Works Agency spokesman Christopher Gunness.

    "They were armed. They seized this. They took it by force," Gunness said, terming the incident "absolutely unacceptable."

    The seizure took place after UNRWA staff earlier refused to hand over the aid supplies to the Hamas-run Ministry of Social Affairs, he said. Similar aid packages were distributed to 70,000 residents over the past two weeks, Gunness said.
    Ahmad Kurd, the Hamas official in charge of the ministry, did not deny the aid was seized, charging the U.N. was giving the aid to local groups with ties to Hamas opponents. ...

    Israeli officials say the incident vindicated their long-standing claims that Hamas routinely confiscates aid meant for needy Gazans. ...

    However, Gunness said this was the first time Hamas seized UNRWA supplies. "Does anyone really think that the Americans, who are our single largest donor, or the Europeans, who are our largest multination donor, would give us aid in the generous way they do if they thought that aid would go to terrorists?" Gunness said.
    What strikes me most strongly about this story is not that Hamas would rob the UN at gunpoint, but that United Nations official Gunness actually referred to Hamas as "terrorists." Maybe the AP can get a clue and rethink calling Hamas "militants."

    Newsweek's Hirsh loses grip

    Just as more and more Americans are thinking that the federal government should just stand there, not do something about the economy, Newsweek's Michael Hirsh awakens from mental hibernation to the energetic state of somnambulance. How else to explain his diagnosis of how Obama lost control?

    Yes, Hirsh is right that Obama " has all but lost control of the agenda in Washington at a time when he simply can't afford to do so," but his diagnosis is looney. He's lost control because he's no longer setting the terms of the debate, says Hirsh. Well, duh. How long does Mr. Hirsh think that even Obama can control public discourse? Does he expect that all the vested interests in the D.C. kabuki theater will be passive just because Obama is in office?

    The White House would inevitably lose control of the agenda because there are 535 members of the Congress down the street who all think they know better than the president, es including the Democratic majority, too.

    But here's where Hirsh simply falls off the rails:

    In his eagerness to accommodate Republicans and listen to their ideas over the past week, he has allowed the GOP to turn the haggling over the stimulus package into a decidedly stale, Republican-style debate over pork, waste and overspending. This makes very little economic sense when you are in a major recession that only gets worse day by day. Yes, there are still some very legitimate issues with a bill that's supposed to be "temporary" and "targeted"—among them, large increases in permanent entitlement spending, and a paucity of tax cuts requiring immediate spending. Even so, Obama has allowed Congress to grow embroiled in nitpicking over efficiency when the central debate should be about whether the package is big enough. When you are dealing with a stimulus of this size, there are going to be wasteful expenditures and boondoggles. There's no way anyone can spend $800 to $900 billion quickly without waste and boondoggles. It comes with the Keynesian territory. This is an emergency; the normal rules do not apply.
    Get that? This is an emergency! Normal rules don't apply! That's always the call of the diktat. Isn't that how the now-maligned Patriot Act got rammed through the Congress?

    Note also that by Hirsh's lights, debates about "pork, waste and overspending" are "decidedly stale." They don't matter! This is an emergency! "[T]he central debate should be about whether the package is big enough." Big enough? It's closing in on a trillion dollars! Already more than $900 billion that we do not have. That means that the "paucity of tax cuts" that Hirsh waves away as unimportant are the only way for the government to avoid extraordinary levels of borrowing never before seen.

    Hirsh later complains that, "many Americans may have concluded that the GOP is right and that the Democrats have embarked on another spending spree." But the fact is, that's exactly what has happened. As Glenn Reynolds put it, "The marks are starting to wise up."

    Wednesday, February 4, 2009

    Daschle and the DC kabuki dance

    White House press secretary Robert Gibbs was holding forth for the WH press pool just at the time I was having lunch at home yesterday. The withdrawal of former Senator Tom Daschle from nomination as HHS secretary had already been announced. The reporters pressed Gibbs pretty hard, I thought, especially on why Daschle's tax dodging disqualified him but Timothy Geithner's dodging didn't.

    Gibbs faithfully soldiered along with the party line, which was:

    • The decision to withdraw was Daschle's. Q: Did anyone in the White House say anything to Daschle indicating that it was time for him to withdraw? A: The decision to withdraw was Daschle's. CNN put it this way:
    • At a news conference Tuesday afternoon, press secretary Robert Gibbs insisted that the White House did not pressure Daschle to step down.

      Pressed on whether Daschle was given any sort of signal to resign, Gibbs said, "I don't know how much more clear I could be. The decision was Sen. Daschle's."
    This Q-A was repeated a few times in various ways, but Gibbs' answer never varied: "The decision to withdraw was Daschle's." Which means that the semantic content was well understood by all the reporters present and in fact was the way they later reported or filed it: President Obama either ordered or assented to word being sent to Daschle that he was being dropped like a hot watch.
    • Geithner was examined by the Senate and all his problems were discussed during the confirmation process. Q: Yes, but he still has the same kind of issues that dogged Daschle, so why did the president go forward with Geithner? A: "Geithner was examined by the Senate and all his problems were discussed during the confirmation process." Etc.

    Later in the day, part of NBC's Brian Williams one-on-one interview with the president was broadcast and to give Obama credit, he didn't let Williams pre-emptively make excuses for him. Williams asked whether the "culture of Washington" was to blame for all the controversy, and Obama said no, that the White House, including himself, had made too many mistakes in the nomination.

    But the question of whether someone in the White House had spoken to Daschle to give him the boot misses the way the "culture of Washington" works. I am sure that no WH personage spoke directly to Daschle at all. Everyone there, including Daschle, knows that a deniability gap needed to be maintained between Obama and Daschle's withdrawal.

    Why did Obama decide that Daschle needed to walk the plank? CNN explains, "it was also expected that he'd have to undergo a bruising confirmation hearing that could have led to negative headlines for Obama." (Amazing that CNN would even imagine there could ever be such a thing as "negative headlines for Obama," which would be a first, fer sure.)

    So word went from the White House, by Obama's decision, to the Senate Democrats that it was time for Daschle to go. The top two Dems on the subcommittee spoke to Daschle and told him it was over. Daschle knew how the game is played and so he announced he was withdrawing, offering all the usual reasons (the work to be done is more important than me; the administration can't begin this work with a cloud hanging over the secretary's head, blah blah blah), thus giving Gibbs the opening to say, "The decision to withdraw was Daschle's."

    Which is true, but only in the same way that an NFL quarterback "decides" to retire when he learns he won't start next season and his contract won't be picked up by another team.

    No, the "culture of Washington" wasn't to blame for Daschle's departure, and the president was more insightful about that than Brian Williams (which is no surprise): it was the DC culture that enabled Obama to ease Daschle out so quickly and effectively. The kabuki dance lives on, only the dancers have been changed.

    Update: The LA Times' Andrew Malcolm says that Washington has forgotten about right and wrong, and now only talks about strategy and what works.

    Tuesday, February 3, 2009

    Money to burn

    Sunday, February 1, 2009

    Hey, Dude, Get A Grip

    I think I missed something last week in the coverage of the Turkish PM behaving in a thoroughly boorish manner insulting the President of Israel. It would appear that that the surface complaint the PM had was that Israel killed some people in Gaza during three weeks of intense warfare. The guy was pretty worked up over it, too; in fact he walked out of an international gathering of nation state leaders and returned to Turkey where he was received by a throng of several thousand supporters.

    Now, what I think I missed in the coverage was something about Turkey's record for "killing some people" on a scale considerably larger than anything resulting from all the actions of the IDF since independence in 1948. Isn't there some historical event that Turkey is pretty sensitive to, working tirelessly to prevent the world forum from using the infamous G-word? Turkey even lobbied agressively the US to not brand it with the G-word, unsuccessfully I might add.

    What I do remember is that Israel recently voted to recognize the Armenian Genocide of 1915 at the hands of the current Turkish state's predecessor, the Ottoman Empire. The Turks pressed Israel hard over that one, too; with about as much success as it had stopping the US. They also pressed the Israelis over efforts of the ADL, a US Jewish activist organization, to further world recognition of 1.5 million Armenian deaths because the Ottoman government wanted some more land.

    Y'all think that this may have something to do with the flea up this guy's nose? I mean, talk about losing one's cool. I just cannot imagine any benefit accruing to Turkey as an international player in the world peace sweepstakes.

    The Pan Armenian Network had the following to say about the entire incident.

    /PanARMENIAN.Net/ Israel formally described this language (Erdogan’s statement on Gaza) as "unacceptable" and certain Israeli media outlets have raised the stakes. The Jerusalem Post editorialized that given Turkey’s record of killing tens of thousands of Kurds in northern Iraq, "we’re not convinced that Turkey has earned the right to lecture Israelis about human rights."

    Israel’s deputy foreign minister was even more pointed, "Erdogan says that genocide is taking place in Gaza. We [Israel] will then recognize the Armenian-related events as genocide."

    Turkish columnist Barcin Yinanc, shrewdly wrote, "When April comes, I can imagine the [Turkish] government instructing its Ambassador to Israel to mobilize the Israeli government to stop the Armenian initiatives in the U.S. Congress. I can hear some Israelis telling the Turkish Ambassador to go talk to Hamas to lobby the Congress."

    “Then-candidate Barack Obama twice pledged that he would recognize the Armenian Genocide. But so had candidate George W. Bush eight years earlier, until he was elected and faced the Turkish/Jewish lobby. Armenian Americans and their backers are already pressing Mr. Obama to fulfill his pledge. With the Turkish-Israeli alliance deeply strained, the position of the leading Jewish organizations is very much in question this time. Whatever the outcome, be sure that politics, not genocide, will be the decisive factor,” Yinanc wrote.

    Oh, good. It would seem there are others how noticed the same problem. Maybe the Young Turks need to pass the ball to some Senior Statesmen.

    Italian govt.: No more foreign food in Italy!

    Italy's culinary enemy #1, the non-Italian kebab.

    I am not making this up. TimesOnline reports that the government of Italy, headed by Silvio Berlusconi, is trying to get rid of non-Italian foods in the country.

    The drive to make Italians eat Italian, which was described by the Left and leading chefs as gastronomic racism, began in the town of Lucca this week, where the council banned any new ethnic food outlets from opening within the ancient city walls.

    Yesterday it spread to Lombardy and its regional capital, Milan, which is also run by the centre Right. The anti-immigrant Northern League party brought in the restrictions “to protect local specialities from the growing popularity of ethnic cuisines”.

    Luca Zaia, the Minister of Agriculture and a member of the Northern League from the Veneto region, applauded the authorities in Lucca and Milan for cracking down on nonItalian food. “We stand for tradition and the safeguarding of our culture,” he said.
    Not only are they targeting foreign foods such as kebab, McDonalds is in their sights as well. But careful, warn critics of the government's policy.
    Vittorio Castellani, a celebrity chef, said ... that many dishes thought of as Italian were, in fact, imported. The San Marzano tomato, a staple ingredient of Italian pasta sauces, was a gift from Peru to the Kingdom of Naples in the 18th century. Even spaghetti, it is thought, was brought back from China by Marco Polo, and oranges and lemons came from the Arab world
    By the way, pizza as Americans know it is an American invention, though I understand with Sicilian roots. When I traveled Italy's mainland, the dish restaurants presented as "pizza" was a doughy, gooey, tasteless mess.

    Speaking of Sicilian food, "ethnic" restaurants, not further defined, will be okay. Massimo Di Grazia, city spokesman for Lucca,
    ... said that French restaurants would be allowed. He was unsure, though, about Sicilian cuisine. It is influenced by Arab cooking.
    Europe is increasingly becoming a great source of entertainment for us, yes?