Tuesday, November 6, 2012

The Chris Matthews Rule

By Donald Sensing

When Princess Diana was killed in an auto accident in 1997, my wife and I were hosting in our home an Army colonel whom we had known since he was a captain. Cathy, Bill and I were watching the news reports that day. I recall clearly when the announces said, "Mr. Blair's government has confirmed that the Princess of Wales was involved in an automobile accident and that her condition is very grave."

Immediately, Bill and turned to each and exclaimed at the same time, "She's dead!"

Veteran media watchers know how to decode the media. Tonight, when you watch the broadcast and cable networks start reporting vote tallies, you need to know how to decode what is being said and shown.

The basic rule: The longer an MSM leaves a state uncalled for either candidate, colored in neither red nor blue, the greater the chance they know it's going to be red. They will drag their feet as long as they can to call a state for Romney, but will pounce at the chance to call one for Obama.  Sort of like this, I can imagine.

Anchor: Let's look at Ohio: With 98 percent of precincts reporting, 62 percent of the vote is for Romney and 36 percent is for Obama. Carmen, your assessment? 
Carmen: Still too close to call, Jim! 
Only if the tabulated votes for each candidate stay within one point of each other after a state's key (meaning, most populous) precincts have reported and the total counted is well above 50 percent is there a reason for a media outlet to leave a state uncalled. If Romney is ahead, they will leave it open. If Obama is ahead, it'll be called sooner than that.

Trust me.

The Chris Matthews Rule: When 11 p.m. EST is reached, no matter what MSNBC's colored national map looks like, you will know Romney has won if Chris Matthews' face looks anything like this:

Don't worry, Chris, you'll feel that tingle down your leg again! Drink coffee. It's going to be a long night.

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