Saturday, November 17, 2007

The rich get poorer and the poor get richer

By Donald Sensing

So say the Treasury Department's latest 10-year study of tax-returns analyses.

The Treasury study examined a huge sample of 96,700 income tax returns from 1996 and 2005 for Americans over the age of 25. The study tracks what happened to these tax filers over this 10-year period. One of the notable, and reassuring, findings is that nearly 58% of filers who were in the poorest income group in 1996 had moved into a higher income category by 2005. Nearly 25% jumped into the middle or upper-middle income groups, and 5.3% made it all the way to the highest quintile.



Only one income group experienced an absolute decline in real income--the richest 1% in 1996. Those households lost 25.8% of their income. Moreover, more than half (57.4%) of the richest 1% in 1996 had dropped to a lower income group by 2005. Some of these people might have been "rich" merely for one year, or perhaps for several, as they hit their peak earning years or had some capital gains windfall. Others may simply have not been able to keep up with new entrepreneurs and wealth creators. ...

The key point is that the study shows that income mobility in the U.S. works down as well as up--another sign that opportunity and merit continue to drive American success, not accidents of birth. The "rich" are not the same people over time.

That the poor are getting richer is not news, and it's happening all over the world. See, for example, "Economic iconoclasm," and, "World income inequality decreasing." Yet it's amazing how much the populist hokum that the rich get richer and the poor get poorer continues to drive American politics and churches' "social justice" agendas.

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