I have already posted that I think Romney was defeated by non-voters more than Obama voters ("Romney was defeated more by people who didn't vote at all than by those who voted for his opponent").
Now more confirmation:
The president's base turned out and Romney's did not. More African-Americans voted in Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida than in 2008. And fewer Republicans did: Romney got just over 2 million fewer votes than John McCain.And there were three million mostly-Republican voters who didn't vote at all.
As the WaPo posted yesterday, almost every voting bloc actually broke in favor of the Republican this year from 2008. The people who did vote this year by far were defecting from Obama toward Romney. But not enough of them did to make up for the almost-certain Republican voters who didn't vote.
Romney took turnout in his favor for granted. That's why he lost.
Update: Here's an example of insuffiicient defections: In 2008, 70 percent of single / unmarried / divorced women voted for Obama. Last Tuesday, 67 percent did (among single / unmarried / divorced women who actually voted, of course). My source, a Christian blogger, writes,
In other words, they want a Santa Claus federal government.So what is it that these single / unmarried / divorced women really want these days?Here’s what they want:
- they want taxpayer-funded contraceptives, paid for by Christians and provided by Christians
- they want taxpayer-funded abortions, paid for by Christians and provided by Christians (no conscience protections)
- they want children to be raised by single mothers, supported with taxpayer money
- they want children to be raised by same-sex couples, and harsh laws preventing anyone from disagreeing with gay marriage
- they want no-fault divorce laws, so that they can easily get out of any marriages that don’t make them happy
- they want taxpayer-funded day care, so that they can get back to their careers as quickly as possible
Read the whole thing.
Update: Andrew McCarthy agrees. So does Victor Davis Hanson, Works and Days » Anatomies of Electoral Madness.